TUDEH Party of Iran assesses recent developments regarding Iran-US agreement

TUDEH sated that although a sixty-day ceasefire and the launch of negotiations between Iran and the United States have temporarily reduced the immediate risk of a wider regional conflict, they do not mark the end of the crisis or eliminate the possibility of renewed military confrontation. It contends that the current period represents the beginning of a new phase of political, diplomatic and military tensions rather than a lasting peace.

According to the assessment, military exchanges between Iran and the United States have continued despite the ceasefire, with both sides responding to each other's attacks while presenting competing narratives regarding the outcome of the conflict. The Iranian leadership portrays the developments as a victory for the "resistance," whereas the United States and Israel claim success in containing Iran's nuclear programme. The article argues that these conflicting accounts demonstrate that neither side achieved a decisive victory.

The asessmnet also examines growing divisions within the Iranian political establishment over negotiations with the United States and the memorandum of understanding reached with the Trump administration. It describes disagreements between reformist and hardline factions, disputes within the Assembly of Experts, and differing positions among political, military and economic elites regarding sanctions, foreign policy and future negotiations. The article suggests that internal power struggles are likely to intensify, particularly in light of uncertainty surrounding the country's future leadership.

A significant portion of the assessment focuses on Iran's economic and social conditions. It argues that decades of neoliberal economic policies, combined with US sanctions and recent military conflict, have deepened poverty, unemployment and inflation. Citing official statistics, it highlights rising prices, declining living standards and growing hardship for workers and ordinary households; and maintains that the ceasefire has done little to alleviate these underlying economic problems.

The assessment further argues that widespread social protests by workers, teachers, retirees, nurses, students and women, which had been temporarily overshadowed by the war, are likely to resume as attention returns to domestic issues. It contends that the Iranian authorities will attempt to maintain a security-oriented political environment to suppress dissent, but argues that economic hardship, social inequality and public dissatisfaction cannot be resolved through security measures alone.

TUDEH strongly criticizes Reza Pahlavi and monarchist opposition groups, accusing them of supporting foreign military intervention against Iran and attempting to exploit the conflict to regain political influence. It states that these groups have undermined popular protest movements and describes efforts to establish alternative political structures with their participation as attempts to weaken the country's democratic and progressive forces.

As a conclusion, the assessment article calls on Iran's democratic and progressive organizations to strengthen cooperation among labour, women's, student, teacher and other social movements. It argues that genuine peace requires not only an end to military conflict but also economic security, civil liberties, social justice and popular participation in political decision-making. The assessment concludes that Iran's future will ultimately depend less on negotiations with foreign powers than on addressing the accumulated economic, social and political demands of its people while building a broad movement capable of achieving democratic and lasting change.